💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।
⚔️ BTC @ 86,000 — Bears Still in Control, Bounce = Only Temporary
Market Tone: Bearish-to-Neutral • Bounce = Only Pullback
🔹 1️⃣ MULTI–TIMEFRAME PRICE TREND ANALYSIS
🔸 (A) BTC 5-Minute — Short-Term Control TF
- RSI → 53 → Mild recovery
- CCI → 98 → Short-term bounce
- MACD → +78 / –47 → Weak bullish cross
- ADX → 23 → No strong trend
5m Conclusion: यह सिर्फ oversold pullback है — कोई trend reversal नहीं। LTF bearish structure अभी भी active.
🔸 (B) BTC 15-Minute — Micro Direction TF
- RSI → 44 → Weak
- CCI → –34 → Bearish
- MACD → 37 / –396 → Bearish pressure
- ADX → 41 → Active bearish trend
15m Conclusion: Pullback weak है; sellers अभी भी control में हैं। कोई reversal signal नहीं।
🔸 (C) BTC 30-Minute — Directional TF
- RSI → 37 → Weak
- CCI → –73 → Strong bearish
- MACD → 53 / –840 → Bearish domination
- ADX → 42 → Strong trend continuation
30m Conclusion: BTC अभी भी pure downtrend में है। जो bounce दिख रहा है वो temporary है।
🔸 (D) BTC 4-Hour — Macro Trend
- RSI → 29 → Oversold but weak
- CCI → –182 → Deep bearish
- MACD → –393 / –2087 → Continuation trend
- ADX → 39 → Strong macro trend
4H Conclusion: Macro अभी भी साफ bearish trend में है। Lower-lows continue.
🔥 2️⃣ OPTION CHART ANALYSIS (86000 CE / PE)
📉 86000 PE — Very Weak
- RSI → 43 → Weak
- CCI → –129 → Bearish
- MACD → –41 / –16 → Bearish
- ADX → 24 → Weak trend
PE View: PE buyers weak हैं — downside sustain करना मुश्किल। PE = Sell on Rise.
📈 86000 CE — Stronger Side
- RSI → 51 → Neutral-Positive
- CCI → +87 → Bullish
- MACD → –39 / +24 → Early bullish cross
- ADX → 21 → Trend developing
CE View: CE strong spike दिखा सकता है — but option chain breakout allow नहीं करेगी।
📊 3️⃣ OPTION CHAIN ANALYSIS
| Range | Observation | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| 84k–88k | Heavy CE OI | Upside capped |
| 86.5k–87.5k | Strong call wall | Breakout unlikely |
| 92k–92.4k | Weak PE OI | No downside defense |
| PCR | 0.62–0.70 | Bearish-to-neutral |
✔ Smart Money: CE writers active • PE writers inactive • BTC expected to drift downside after spikes.
🎯 PROJECTED TARGETS — Next 10 Hours
| Instrument | Entry | Target | SL |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Spot | 86,200–86,400 | 85,200 → 84,800 | 86,900 |
🧭 TECHNICAL SUMMARY
- RSI → Weak on all major TF
- MACD → All TF bearish except 5m bounce
- CCI → Deep negative on HTF
- ADX → 30m + 4H strong bearish
- Option Chain → CE heavy walls
- Price → Lower highs / lower lows
🏁 FINAL CONCLUSION
⚔️ BTC @ 86,000 — Sellers Still Rule. Bounce सिर्फ noise है। 30m + 4H pure bearish; CE strong; PE weak; option chain upside block कर रहा है। Trend अभी भी साफ southbound है।
🎯 Expected Range: 84,800 – 85,400 • Wick: 84,300 possible
⚠️ यह trading advice नहीं; सिर्फ market-structure based view है.
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