💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।
⚔️ BTC @ $93,000 — Bearish-to-Neutral Expiry Bias; Upside Capped 93,200–93,400
CMP: $93,000 • Updated: 20 Nov, 10:35 AM IST
🔹 1️⃣ MULTI-TIMEFRAME PRICE TREND ANALYSIS
🔸 (A) BTC 5-Minute Chart (Expiry Control TF)
- RSI (14): 64.46 → Strong
- CCI (20): 247 → Overbought spike
- MACD: 81.6 vs 55.7 → Bullish crossover active
- ADX: 18.35 → Trend strength weak
5m Conclusion: Short-term bullish momentum है पर trend weak है — expiry में upside spikes पर selling pressure आएगा।
🔸 (B) BTC 30-Minute Chart (Directional TF)
- RSI: 69.63 → Overbought
- CCI: 92.66 → Positive but extended
- MACD: 582 vs 414 → Bullish but flattening soon
- ADX: 36.87 → Strong trend
30m Conclusion: Trend strong पर RSI overbought — upside limited. Expiry में BTC को $93,200–$93,400 zone पर supply मिलेगी।
🔸 (C) BTC 4-Hour Chart (Macro Bias)
- RSI: 48.7 → Neutral
- CCI: 18.6 → Neutral
- MACD: 300 vs −1,227 → Massive bearish divergence
- ADX: 37.78 → Trend active
4H Conclusion: 4H अभी भी macro bearish structure दिखा रहा है — short-term rally केवल pullback है।
🔹 2️⃣ OPTIONS CHART ANALYSIS SUMMARY
📉 PUT — 92,800 PE (5m + 15m)
- RSI: 27–33 → Weak
- CCI: −176 to −256 → Deep negative
- MACD: −396 to −71 → Strong bearish continuation
- ADX: 19–48 → Bearish trend intact
Interpretation: PE बहुत weak है — buying support नहीं दिखता। Expiry logic: PE = SELL on rise.
📈 CALL — 92,800 CE (5m + 15m)
- RSI: 60–66 → Positive
- CCI: 70–137 → Bullish
- MACD: Bullish crossover active
- ADX: 21–40 → Trend strengthening
Interpretation: Call side strong — short-term upside possible, लेकिन OI wall resistance breakout रोक सकती है।
🔹 3️⃣ OPTION CHAIN (20 NOV — ~6 घंटे बचे)
| Side | Key Strikes | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| CALL | 93,000 • 93,200 • 93,400 • 94,000 | Strong OI walls — upside capped 93,200–93,400 |
| PUT | 92,000 • 92,200 • 92,400 | Weak PE OI — downside support limited |
📊 Smart Money Summary: CE strong पर OI walls 93.2k–93.4k से upside restrict हो रहा है; PE weak होने से downside protection कम है → expiry flow = bearish-to-neutral after spikes.
🔹 4️⃣ PROJECTED TARGETS / EXPIRY-DAY TRADING VIEW
| Instrument | Action | Entry Range | Target | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Spot | SELL on spikes | $93,050 – $93,250 | $92,400 → $92,100 | $93,550 |
📑 TECHNICAL SUMMARY
- 🧭 Smart Money Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral (after spikes)
- 🔺 Upside Cap: $93,200 – $93,400
- 🔻 Expiry Drift Zone: $92,200 – $92,500
- 🧱 Downside Extension: $92,050 (if momentum accelerates)
🏁 FINAL CONCLUSION
⚔️ BTC expiry shows bearish-to-neutral bias. 5m/30m momentum है पर OI walls और कमजोर PE structure expiry में spike-selling और downward drift की तरफ इशारा करते हैं। Macro 4H अभी bearish divergence दिखाता है — short rallies केवल pullbacks हैं।
🎯 Expected Expiry Settlement: $92,200 – $92,500 • Lower wick possible: $92,050
⚠️ यह market-structure आधारित observation है — financial advice नहीं। Risk management जरूरी।
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