💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।
⚔️🔥 SENSEX NEXT 2-DAY OUTLOOK — SMART MONEY REJECTION ACTIVE @ 85,300 🔥⚔️
Updated: 26 Nov 2025 • Market Tone: Bearish → Neutral
🔹 1️⃣ MULTI–TIMEFRAME PRICE TREND ANALYSIS
🔸 (A) 1H Chart — Short-Term Control TF
- RSI: 45.18 → Weak
- CCI: −109.90 → Deep Negative
- MACD: −105.95 vs −42.51 → Bearish but slowing
- ADX: 21.67 → Trend forming
1H Interpretation: Intraday momentum clearly weak है, lower-high formation active है और
85,200–85,350 पर sharp rejection दिख रहा है। Bears short-term structure को पकड़े हुए हैं।
➡️ Short-term: Mild to Moderate Bearish.
🔸 (B) 4H Chart — Directional TF
- RSI: 52.00 → Neutral
- CCI: −39.01 → Weak momentum
- MACD: 220 vs 300 → Bearish crossover in progress
- ADX: 14.55 → Trend weak, big move loading
4H Interpretation: Momentum धीरे-धीरे मर रहा है, MACD cross-down almost active है।
85,300–85,500 साफ supply zone है जहाँ से बार-बार pressure बन रहा है।
➡️ Mid-term: Weakening → Pullback probability high.
🔸 (C) Daily Chart — Macro TF
- RSI: 57.57 → Healthy but flattening
- CCI: 40.33 → Stability but no strong trend
- MACD: 505 vs 469 → Bullish but slowing
- ADX: 25.36 → Trend strength fading
Daily Interpretation: Daily trend अभी भी bullish है, लेकिन momentum clearly exhausted दिख रहा है।
86,000–86,200 बड़ा supply zone है जहाँ से weakness सभी oscillators पर दिखने लगी है।
➡️ Macro: Bullish but Tired.
🔥 2️⃣ OPTIONS CHART ANALYSIS SUMMARY
📉 85,000 CE (15m + 1H)
- RSI: 32–37 → Weak
- CCI: −118 to −126 → Deep Bearish
- MACD: −74 / −66 → No recovery
- Volume: High but selling-dominated
CE Conclusion: 85,000 CE बेहद weak है — हर bounce पर selling active रहती है।
➡️ CE = SELL on every bounce.
📈 85,000 PE (15m + 1H)
- RSI: 43–45 → Stable
- CCI: +25 to +36 → Improving
- MACD: +21 vs +18 → Bullish crossover
- Volume: Rising → Buyers active
PE Conclusion: 85,000 PE gradually stabilise हो रहा है, dips पर buyers clearly active दिख रहे हैं।
➡️ PE = Buy-on-dips behaviour active.
📊 3️⃣ OPTION CHAIN ANALYSIS (Based on Your Images)
| Strike | OI (approx) | Role |
|---|---|---|
| 85,300 CE | 33K | Major CE Wall (Strong resistance) |
| 85,500 CE | 80K | Very heavy CE wall |
| 86,000 CE | 138K | Extreme resistance / hard ceiling |
| 84,500 PE | 22K | Weak support |
| 84,000 PE | 18K | Very weak support |
📌 PCR ≈ 0.70–0.75 → Bearish bias.
✔ Massive upside cap — smart money 85,300–85,500 zone aggressively defend कर रहा है।
✔ Put side relatively weak है → downside 84,300 → 84,000 तक open दिखती है।
🧠 SMART MONEY POSITIONING
- CE Sellers: Heavy, stable, confident — खासकर 85,300–86,000 स्ट्राइक्स पर।
- PE Sellers: Weak, scattered, no trend confidence; सिर्फ हल्का intraday defence दिखता है।
Smart Money Outlook:
➡️ Bias: Bearish to Neutral
➡️ Major ceiling: 85,300–85,500
➡️ Downside door open: 84,300 → 84,000
🎯 4️⃣ PROJECTED TARGETS — NEXT 48 HOURS
| Instrument | Action | Entry Range | Target | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SENSEX Spot | SELL on rise | 85,050–85,200 | 84,400 → 84,150 | 85,450 |
➡️ नोट: PE comparatively safe दिख रहा है क्योंकि downside पर data support कर रहा है; CE extremely weak है — bias clearly bearish side की ओर tilt है।
📑 5️⃣ TECHNICAL SUMMARY
- 🧭 Smart Money Bias: Bearish to Neutral
- 🔺 Major Resistance: 85,300–85,500 (CE walls)
- 🧱 Major Support: 84,400 → 84,000
- ⚠ Expected Move: Sideways to Bearish
- 💥 Break of 84,400: Fast 200–250 pts fall possible towards 84,000
🏁 6️⃣ FINAL CONCLUSION (Headline Style)
⚔️🐻 SENSEX SETUP: Bulls losing momentum — Smart Money aggressively defending 85,300, अगला logical move 84,400 की तरफ दिखाई देता है।
🎯 Next 48-Hour Expectation:
👉 Range: 84,150 – 85,200
👉 Bias: Mild to Moderate Bearish
👉 Trigger: 84,400 के नीचे breakdown = quick slide towards 84,000
⚠️ यह सिर्फ technical + option-chain आधारित market-structure observation है — किसी भी तरह की financial advice या buy/sell recommendation नहीं है। Risk management और position sizing सबसे ज़्यादा important है।
No comments:
Post a Comment