๐ก Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. เคฏเคนाँ เคฆिเค เคเค “Buy/Sell” เคฏा “Target” signals AI-generated insights เคนैं — เคฏे เคिเคธी เคช्เคฐเคाเคฐ เคी personal investment advice เคจเคนीं เคนै।
BTC @ ~$95,150 — Smart Money Positioning Indicates Bearish-to-Neutral Expiry Bias Below $96,000 ⚠️
Updated: 17 Nov, 11:50 AM UTC • Active Range: $94,700 – $96,000
๐น 1️⃣ Price Structure & Technical Trend (Multi-Timeframe View)
๐ธ 30-Min Chart
- RSI: ~53–54 → Mild bullish but weak
- CCI: +61 → Short-term positive but unstable
- MACD: +120 vs +28 → Bullish momentum but flattening
- ADX: 15 → Trend weak / directionless
Interpretation: 30-min เคชเคฐ BTC weak recovery เคฎें เคนै; $96,000 เคे เคเคชเคฐ sustain เคจเคนीं เคนो เคฐเคนा — clear expiry supply zone.
๐ธ 5-Min Chart
- RSI: ~49 → Neutral
- CCI: −15 → Light negativity
- MACD: +6.4 vs −36 → Bearish → Neutral transition
- ADX: 10 → Almost no trend
Interpretation: Intraday bears fade-higher pattern maintain เคเคฐ เคฐเคนे เคนैं; expiry drift likely sideways → slight down.
๐ธ 4-Hour Chart
- RSI: ~39 → Weak
- CCI: −59 → Bearish continuation
- MACD: −1577 vs −1741 → Bearish but flattening
- ADX: 37 → Strong bearish trend
Interpretation: H4 เคชเคฐ clear downtrend เคाเคฐी। Upper supply band: $98,000–$100,000. Expiry drag towards $94,000–$95,000 possible.
๐น 2️⃣ Option Chain Analysis (BTC 95,000 — Expiry Today)
| Strike | CE OI | CE Bias | PE OI | PE Bias | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94,400–94,800 | High | CE buildup | Weak | — | Resistance forming below spot |
| 95,000 (ATM) | Heavy | CE writing | Heavy | PE support | ⚔️ Battle Zone |
| 95,200 | High | Strong writing | Low | Weak | Immediate resistance |
| 95,400–95,800 | Very High | Continuous call writing | Low | No support | Expiry cap zone |
๐ PCR ≈ 0.72–0.78 → Bearish-to-Neutral
Smart Money Insight: Total CE OI ≫ Total PE OI. Call writers controlling $95,200–$96,000; put writers not defending lower strikes → downside open. Expect expiry settlement below $96,000 (target ~ $94.7k–$95.0k).
๐น 3️⃣ Option Chart Signals
๐ธ BTC 95,000 CE
- RSI: weak
- CCI: negative
- MACD: bearish
- ADX: < 20
Interpretation: CE unwinding → upside capped; resistance strong.
๐ธ BTC 95,000 PE
- RSI: ~42
- CCI: oversold but stabilizing
- MACD: improving
Interpretation: PE strength returning — expiry weakness bias intact unless spot recovers above $96,000.
๐น 4️⃣ Expiry Settlement View (Today)
| Session | Bias | Likely Zone | Behavior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morning | Mild pullback | $95,300–$95,500 | CE selling zone |
| Midday | Sideways → Down | $95,000–$94,800 | PE strengthening |
| Expiry Close | Bearish drift | $94,700–$95,000 | Expected settlement |
๐ฏ Expiry-Day Trading View (Neutral Observation)
| Instrument | Observation |
|---|---|
| 95,000 PE | Strength improving below $95,200 |
| 95,000 CE | Weak charts, constant writing |
| BTC Spot | Bias below $96,000 |
๐ Technical Summary
- ๐งญ Smart Money Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral
- ๐ฅ Expiry Resistance: $95,600–$96,000
- ๐งฑ Expiry Support: $94,700–$94,800
- ๐ Settlement Expectation: $94,800–$95,000
๐ Final Conclusion (Blog Style)
⚔️ BTC expiry today shows a bearish-to-neutral setup: strong call-writing walls at $95,600–$96,000 and weak put support below $94,800. Smart money defending upside while allowing controlled downside drift → likely settlement $94,700–$95,000.
๐ RSI & MACD weakness across 5m, 30m, 4h confirm limited bullish potential.
๐ป Expiry Drift Zone: $94,700–$95,000 • ๐บ Upside Cap: $96,000
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