💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।
⚔️ BTC @ $91,120 — Bearish Expiry Bias; Smart Money Defending 91.8k–92k
CMP: $91,120 • Updated: 19 Nov, 10.35 AM UTC
🔹 1️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Price Trend Analysis
🔸 BTC 5-Min Chart
- RSI: 29 → Oversold, weak
- CCI: −149 → Heavy negative
- MACD: −269 vs −237 → Deep bearish
- ADX: 44 → Strong active bearish trend
Conclusion (5m): 5-minute में heavy downside momentum है। छोटे-छोटे bounces संभव पर selling pressure बना हुआ है — expiry drift bearish.
🔸 BTC 30-Min Chart
- RSI: 35 → Weak
- CCI: −194 → Deep negative
- MACD: −203 vs −17 → Bearish flattening
- ADX: 24 → Trend weak but bearish bias
Conclusion (30m): 30-minute frame पर controlled selling दिख रहा है। oversold है पर reversal structure नहीं — expiry likely downward drift.
🔸 BTC 4-Hour Chart
- RSI: 35 → Weak
- CCI: −84 → Negative
- MACD: −1571 vs −1682 → Still bearish
- ADX: 38 → Trend bearish & active
Conclusion (4H): Macro trend fully bearish; upside limited toward $92,000. Lower lows continue — expiry likely below $91,800 unless sharp reversal.
🔹 2️⃣ Options Chart Analysis Summary
📉 P-BTC 91000 (Put) — 15m & 5m
- RSI: 69–74 → Strong
- CCI: 180–220 → Strong positive
- MACD: Bullish cross → Price rising
Interpretation: 91000 PE मजबूत है — put buyers सक्रिय हैं। यह संकेत देता है कि market expects BTC to stay below 91k.
📉 C-BTC 91000 (Call) — 5m & 15m
- RSI: 24–26 → Very weak
- CCI: −148 to −161 → Bearish
- MACD: −216 → −195 → Still bearish
Interpretation: 91000 CE लगातार गिर रही है — upside breakout की संभावना बहुत कम। CE तरफ weakness clear है।
🔹 3️⃣ Option Chain (19 Nov Expiry — ~6 hours left)
| Strike | Observation | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| 90,000 | High CE & PE OI | Liquidity zone |
| 91,000 | Very High CE OI / Rising PE interest | Strong ceiling & put demand |
| 92,000 | Heavy CE writing | Upside cap |
| 89,800–90,000 | PE accumulation | Downside support area |
📊 PCR & OI — Key Takeaway: Call-writers aggressively defending 91k–92k. Put buyers building at 91k & 90k. Net implication → expiry drift downward toward 90.0k–90.5k.
🔹 4️⃣ PROJECTED TARGETS / EXPIRY-DAY TRADING VIEW
| Instrument | Entry Range | Target | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Spot | $91,150 – $91,350 | $90,600 → $90,200 | $91,850 |
| 91000 PE | $430 – $470 | $550 – $650 | $360 |
| 91000 CE | $600 – $640 (if bounce) | $480 – $420 | $710 |
| 90000 PE | $240 – $280 | $360 – $400 | $180 |
📑 Technical Summary
- 🧭 Smart Money Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral
- 💥 Expiry Resistance (CE defense): $91,800 – $92,000
- 🧱 Expiry Support / PE demand: $89,800 – $90,500
- 📉 Expected Settlement Range: $90,200 – $90,600 (lower spike possible to $89,900)
🏁 FINAL CONCLUSION
⚔️ BTC 19 Nov expiry clearly bearish. Multi-TF charts (5m / 30m / 4H), option-chart signals और OI structure मिलाकर दिखाते हैं कि CE weakness + PE strength expiry drift को नीचे की तरफ धकेल रहा है।
🔻 Expiry Drift Zone: $90,200 – $90,600 • 🔺 Upper Cap: $91,800 – $92,000 • Lower spike possible: $89,900
⚠️ यह केवल market-structure based observation है — financial advice नहीं। Risk management जरूरी है।
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