๐ก Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. เคฏเคนाँ เคฆिเค เคเค “Buy/Sell” เคฏा “Target” signals AI-generated insights เคนैं — เคฏे เคिเคธी เคช्เคฐเคाเคฐ เคी personal investment advice เคจเคนीं เคนै।
⚔️ BTC @ $90,260 — Smart Money Positioning Indicates Bearish-to-Neutral Expiry Bias Below $91,000
Updated: 18 Nov, 11:00 AM UTC • Active Range: $89,600 – $91,000
๐น 1️⃣ Price Structure & Technical Trend (Multi-Timeframe View)
๐น 5-Min Chart
- RSI: 47.6 → Neutral-to-weak
- CCI: +25 → Mild recovery
- MACD: −148 vs −228 → Bearish but improving
- ADX: 35.6 → Strong trend (bearish earlier)
Interpretation (5m): BTC attempted bounce but failed to clear momentum barrier. Short-term trend weak — expiry sentiment bearish-to-neutral.
๐น 30-Min Chart
- RSI: 32.4 → Oversold
- CCI: −133 → Deep negative
- MACD: −877 vs −790 → Bearish, starting to flatten
- ADX: 44 → Very strong trend (bearish)
Interpretation (30m): Persistent selling pressure; oversold without reversal structure. Expiry likely to remain below $91,000.
๐น 4-Hour Chart
- RSI: 28
- CCI: −216
- MACD: 269 vs 175 → Turning more bearish
- ADX: 44 → Strong downtrend
Interpretation (H4): Macro trend strongly bearish; BTC making lower lows. Major supply at $92,000–$93,000. Expiry likely below $91,000 unless sharp reversal occurs.
๐น 2️⃣ Option Chain Analysis (BTC — Expiry 18 Nov)
| Strike | CE OI | PE OI | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90,000 | Heavy | Active | CE writing visible |
| 90,200 | High | Highest liquidity (PE) | PE accumulation on dips |
| 90,400–90,800 | CE > PE | PE unwinding | Downside not defended |
| 91,000–92,000 | Very Heavy (writing) | Lower | Upside capped |
๐ PCR ≈ 0.65–0.70 → Bearish-to-Neutral
Smart Money Insight: CE writing strong at $91,000–$92,000 — upside cap near $91,000. PE buyers active at $90,200 and $90,000, suggesting floor near $89,200–$89,800. Overall smart-money positioning leans bearish-to-neutral for expiry.
๐น 3️⃣ Option Chart Signals
๐ธ 90,200 PE (5m & 15m)
- RSI: 48 → Neutral
- CCI: −47 → Moderate negative
- MACD: −32 → Bearish
- ADX: 31 → Trend building
Interpretation: PE may rise slowly if BTC drops below $90,000; buyers visible on dips.
๐ธ 91,000 CE (15m)
- RSI: 34
- CCI: −77
- MACD: −277
- ADX: 47
Interpretation: CE in bearish structure — confirms upside capped near $91,000.
๐น 4️⃣ Expiry Settlement View (Next 6 Hours)
| Session | Bias | Likely Zone | Behavior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next 1–2 Hours | Weak bounce | $90,400–$90,600 | Profit booking on PEs |
| Mid-session | Bearish drift | $90,000–$89,800 | PE demand increases |
| Expiry Close | Bearish-to-neutral | $89,600–$90,100 | Expected settlement |
๐ฏ Projected Targets / Expiry-Day Trading View (Neutral Observation Only)
| Instrument | Entry Range | Target | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Spot | $90,300–$90,500 | $89,800–$89,600 | $91,050 |
| 90200 PE | $540–$580 | $680–$720 | $470 |
| 91000 CE | $240–$270 | $180–$150 | $330 |
๐ Technical Summary
- ๐งญ Smart Money Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral
- ๐ฅ Expiry Resistance: $91,000
- ๐งฑ Expiry Support: $89,600
- ๐ Expected Settlement Range: $89,600–$90,100
๐ Final Conclusion (Headline Style)
⚔️ BTC expiry shows strong call-writing between $91,000–$92,000, confirming upside capped. Put buying at $90,200 & $90,000 indicates bearish expiry drift toward $89,600–$90,000. Intraday charts (5m/30m/4h) show sustained bearish structure with weak bounce attempts.
๐ป Expiry Drift Zone: $89,600–$90,100 • ๐บ Expiry Cap: $91,000
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